Dwight Watt - Watt Thoughts #381 4/5/2020


#381 - CDC reports for February and March deaths and pneumonia down in USA (Watt Thoughts)

I was looking through the CDC official reports on their web site and found several interesting trends that no one has reported during the Coronavirus/COVID-19 reports in March to early April. The report is through the end of March as the first week of April is ending as I write this.

The number of deaths in the USA week by week has fallen all month in February and March. Not just a wee spike down, but a continuous trend down. Every week it fell and the last week of March the USA had half the number of deaths as the first week of February. Why are we not celebrating this number in headlines? I am sure when you look at March that traffic deaths play a part as the miles we are on road daily has fallen, but February was still full steam ahead in the USA.

The number of cases of pneumonia fell weekly during these two months even though it is pneumonia that the virus is causing and the need to put people on ventilators for the virus. We were also in the peak season for flu during this time and are just now moving out of the flu and sinus caused respiratory problems. I have had pneumonia several times and most times was March thru May. The pneumonia vaccine has mad e big difference for me in preventing it.

The link to the report at the CDC that I am using is https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/COVID19/index.htm This table comes from that page.

Table 1. Deaths involving coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and pneumonia reported to NCHS by week ending date, United States. Week ending 2/1/2020 to 3/28/2020.
Data as of 4/3/2020
Week ending date in
which the death occurred
All COVID-19
Deaths (U07.1)1
Deaths
from
All Causes
Percent of
Expected
Deaths
All Pneumonia
Deaths (J12.0J18.9)
Deaths with Pneumonia and COVID-19
(J12.0J18.9 and U07.1)
Total Deaths 1,150 446,778 86 24,741 469
02/01/20 0 56,061 94 2,991 0
02/08/20 0 56,209 94 2,985 0
02/15/20 0 54,463 92 2,863 0
02/22/20 0 54,017 93 2,833 0
02/29/20 5 53,697 93 2,831 2
03/07/20 16 52,506 91 2,826 5
03/14/20 41 48,577 85 2,730 17
03/21/20 300 42,750 74 2,642 121
03/28/20 788 28,498 50 2,040 324

Dwight

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